当代全球天然与培育钻石的供需演变及产业转型

Evolution of Supply-Demand Dynamics and Industrial Transformation in Global Natural Versus Lab-Grown Diamonds

  • 摘要: 在新冠疫情及俄乌冲突的双重影响下,全球天然钻石市场呈现量价齐跌态势,天然钻石与培育钻石的供需关系也随之发生了变化。截至2023年,全球经济持续萎缩及消费市场结构性调整,促使绝大部分消费者优先保留现金储备并削减非必要开支。培育钻石市场的扩容进一步挤压了天然钻石的市场份额,但其自身产能过剩导致价格逐步下跌。当前,天然钻石市场通过控制开采规模和强化品牌认证等手段来维持其价值和市场秩序;培育钻石市场则通过技术创新和成本控制来提升竞争力,并在工业应用领域中展现出巨大潜力。这两个市场正积极寻求新的增长点,以适应不断变化的市场需求和消费者偏好。为推动钻石市场可持续发展,提出3点建议:(1)推进技术创新,尤其是培育钻石生产技术领域以提高生产效率和降低成本为主;(2)拓展应用场景,探索培育钻石在工业领域的新用途,如电子器件、半导体产业,以实现市场的多元化发展;(3)践行可持续发展路线,通过可持续地开采和生产实践,减少对环境的影响,并强化消费者对钻石溯源体系的信任。

     

    Abstract: Under the dual impacts of the Covid-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine conflict, the global natural diamond market has experienced simultaneous declines in both transaction volumes and prices, accompanied by significant shifts in the supply-demand dynamics between natural and lab-grown diamonds. By 2023, the continued contraction of the global economy has restructured consumer markets, compelling the majority of consumers to prioritize cash reserve preservation and reduce non-essential expenditures. While the expanding lab-grown diamond market is eroding natural diamonds' market share, oversupply has triggered a progressive decline in lab-grown diamond prices. The natural diamond sector maintains value and market stability through controlled extraction volumes and enhanced certification systems. Conversely, the lab-grown diamond segment improves competitiveness via technological innovation and cost optimization while demonstrating substantial potential in industrial applications. Both markets are actively seeking new growth strategies to align with the constantly changing market demands and consumer preferences.In this paper, to advance sustainable development in the diamond industry, it is recommended to: (1)Accelerate technological innovation in lab-grown diamond production to enhance efficiency and reduce costs; (2)Diversify application scenarios by exploring novel industrial uses in electronics and the semiconductor fields; (3)Implement sustainable mining and manufacturing practices to minimize environmental impacts and strengthen consumer confidence in diamond provenance systems.

     

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