基于SPSS因子分析和判别分析的祖母绿产地溯源

Identification of the Origin of Emerald Based on SPSS Factor Analysis and Discriminant Analysis

  • 摘要: 宝石的产地溯源一直是珠宝行业关注的重要课题,产地效应与宝石的价格密切相关,而计算机和人工智能的发展也让数学模型应用于更广泛的领域。为了研究来自不同产地的同种宝石的产地判别方法,消除传统产地溯源方法的主观性、经验性和不可控性,本文利用自测的和前人总结的不同产地祖母绿的化学成分数据,结合SPSS的因子分析和判别分析对来自赞比亚、澳大利亚、马达加斯加、巴基斯坦等九个不同产地的242个祖母绿样品进行产地判别。所使用的元素变量为Li、Na、K、Rb、Cs、Sc和Ga含量,结果表明:(1)因子分析及线性回归的多重共线性分析可得,这七组元素变量之间不存在明显的多重共线性,同时因子分析的KMO值略小于0.6,即它们之间的相关性不明显;(2)判别分析可知,利用这些元素含量对九个产地的祖母绿进行产地判别的回代判别正确率为95.9%,交叉验证判别正确率为91.7%,判别模型的判别正确率高,模型具有很好的区分度。因此利用不同产地祖母绿中的碱金属化学元素作为变量建立判别模型对其进行产地溯源是具有很大潜力的。

     

    Abstract: The geographic origin tracing of gemstones has always been an important topic of concern in jewelry industry. The origin of gems is closely related to price, and the development of computer and artificial intelligence makes it possible to use mathematical models in this field. In order to study the origin determination methods of the same kind of gemstones from different areas and eliminate the subjectivity, empiricism and uncontrollability of traditional origin determination methods, this study used the chemical composition data of emerald from different areas summarized by self-test and predecessors. Factor analysis and discriminant analysis were combined with SPSS to discriminate the origin of 242 emerald samples from nine different areas such as Zambia, Australia, Colombia, Madagascar, Pakistan etc. The experimental variables are the content of Li, Na, K, Rb, Cs, Sc and the Ga and the results show that: (1) Multicollinearity analysis of factor analysis and linear regression can be obtained, there is no obvious multicollinearity between these seven groups of element variables, and the KMO value of factor analysis is slightly less than 0.6, that is, the correlation between them is not obvious; (2) Discriminant analysis shows that the correct rate of back generation to distinguish the origin of emeralds from the nine producing areas by using these element contents is 95.9%, the correct rate of cross-validation is 91.7%, and the discriminant model has a high correct rate of discrimination and it has a good degree of discrimination. Therefore, it has great potential to use the alkali metal chemical elements in emeralds from different origins as variables to establish a discriminant model to trace their origins.

     

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